TOP PICK
Alaves
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 32
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
Alaves
28%
Seri
30%
Mallorca
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
37%
31%
32%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
48%
19%
33%
DL
25% WEIGHT
42%
28%
30%
FINAL BLEND
42%
28%
30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.05 vs 0.95
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
56%
BTTS NO
44%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Minimal data available; treat as weak baseline. Both teams mid-to-lower table with similar goal profiles.
·
Alaves position 18 (33 pts) vs Mallorca 15 (35 pts) — negligible quality gap
·
Goal differential nearly identical (Alaves -12, Mallorca -9) — defensive fragility mutual
·
No recent form, injury, or H2H context — prediction lacks foundation
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
47%
Vedat Muriqi
AWY · F · 21g/32
2
29%
Lucas Boyé
HOM · F · 11g/27
3
24%
Toni Martínez
HOM · F · 11g/32
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Alaves
3
Seri
4
Mallorca
27 Sep
1-0
3 Mar
1-1
2 Nov
1-0
25 Feb
1-1
3 Des
0-0
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.