⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Austin
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 18
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Austin
32%
Seri
30%
Houston Dy...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
36%
31%
33%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
43%
23%
34%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
32%
30%
FINAL BLEND
38%
32%
30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.03 vs 0.97
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
55%
BTTS NO
45%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Match just started (2'), zero data on 2026 season form/quality — treat as essentially a coin flip with minimal home edge.
·
Extreme data scarcity: no season stats, no form history, no standings
·
Match only 2 minutes old — scoreline and xG not yet informative
·
Baseline MLS home-team advantage (3–5% edge) applied, but heavily discounted
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Guilherme
AWY · F · 5g/9
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Austin
1
Seri
4
Houston Dy...
10 Agt
2-2
27 Apr
2-0
22 Sep
0-1
16 Mei
1-0
21 Apr
0-1
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer