TOP PICK
Azuqueca
PROJECTED: 2-1
78%
CONF 72
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Azuqueca
16%
Seri
6%
Sonseca
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
73%
17%
10%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
92%
5%
3%
DL
25% WEIGHT
78%
16%
6%
FINAL BLEND
78%
16%
6%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.29 vs 0.71
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
78%
BTTS NO
22%
CONTEXT
·
Azuqueca leading 2-1 with 24 minutes remaining; strong favourites to hold on despite Sonseca's goal.
·
1-goal lead at 66' — statistically favours home team in final 24 minutes
·
Both teams have scored (increases likelihood of final 2-1 or 3-1 finishes)
·
No recent form/xG data available; relying on live-state dominance
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Azuqueca
1
Seri
0
Sonseca
14 Des
0-0
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer