TOP PICK
Derby
PROJECTED: 0-1
47%
KEYAKINAN 62
PROBABILITAS MENANG
25%
Charlton
28%
Seri
47%
Derby
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
27%
31%
42%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
27%
19%
54%
DL
25% WEIGHT
25%
28%
47%
KOMBINASI FINAL
25%
28%
47%
SKOR PREDIKSI
0 - 1
xG 0.81 vs 1.09
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-1
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
1-0
0.0%
5
0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
18%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
22%
BTTS TIDAK
78%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CHARLTON FACTORS
+20%
Charlton's home form catastrophic (1W-4L in last 5 at Valley)
DERBY FACTORS
+25%
Derby 1-goal lead at 46' — low-scoring pattern typical in this matchup
+15%
Derby's away record mixed (1W-3L) but H2H shows Derby slight edge (3W-1D-1L in last 5)
KONTEKS
·
Derby leading 1-0 at HT with Charlton's poor home form (WLLLL); away win favoured.
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
83%
Carlton Morris
AWY · F · 12g/31
2
17%
Patrick Agyemang
AWY · 10g/37
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Charlton
2
Seri
5
Derby
21 Jan
1-2
1 Okt
1-1
31 Des
2-1
19 Okt
3-0
16 Apr
0-1
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
