⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Corinthians
PROJECTED: 2-0
72%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
72%
Corinthian...
18%
Seri
10%
Penarol
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
74%
17%
9%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
84%
7%
8%
DL
25% WEIGHT
72%
18%
10%
FINAL BLEND
72%
18%
10%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.25 vs 0.65
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
28%
BTTS NO
72%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CORINTHIANS FACTORS
+15%
Limited data (early Copa Libertadores) but Corinthians' 4-0 GF and 0 GA at home is dominant signal
CONTEXT
·
Corinthians clear favourites on league position, perfect home record, and Penarol's weak away form; expect controlled home win.
·
Corinthians 1st (6 pts, +4 GD) vs Penarol 3rd (1 pt, -1 GD) — massive table gap early season
·
Corinthians perfect at home (W); Penarol no recent away matches on record
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Matías Arezo
AWY · 2g/2
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer