TOP PICK
Famalicao
PROJECTED: 1-2
40%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
28%
Estoril
32%
Seri
40%
Famalicao
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
17%
21%
63%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
31%
23%
46%
DL
25% WEIGHT
28%
32%
40%
FINAL BLEND
28%
32%
40%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.95 vs 2.05
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-2
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
1-2
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
65%
BTTS NO
35%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Famalicao favoured despite away form; recent H2H dominance and Estoril's poor home record tilt fixture away.
·
H2H: Famalicao won last 2 meetings decisively (4-0, 3-0) vs Estoril's older wins
·
Estoril home form weak (LLDWD) and just 1W in last 5 overall
·
Famalicao's recent overall form (DDDWW) more stable than Estoril's (LLLLW)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
75%
Yanis Begraoui
HOM · F · 19g/31
2
25%
João Carvalho
HOM · F · 6g/30
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Estoril
1
Seri
6
Famalicao
14 Des
4-0
12 Apr
3-0
1 Des
2-1
29 Apr
1-0
18 Des
1-1
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer