⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
GIL Vicente
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
CONF 56
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
GIL Vicent...
24%
Seri
18%
Casa Pia
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
68%
19%
13%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
68%
14%
18%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
24%
18%
FINAL BLEND
58%
24%
18%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.16 vs 0.84
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
51%
BTTS NO
49%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CASA PIA FACTORS
+15%
H2H last 4: 2 draws + 2 Casa Pia wins — historical tightness contradicts table gap
CONTEXT
·
GIL Vicente clear home favourite on quality (6th vs 16th), but Casa Pia's recent away form and H2H draw record suggest modest edge, not blowout.
·
GIL Vicente 6th (46 pts, +13 GD) vs Casa Pia 16th (26 pts, -25 GD) — large quality gap
·
GIL Vicente home form LWDLW mixed; Casa Pia away form LLDLD consistently poor
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
53%
Pablo Felipe
HOM · 10g/13
2
48%
Murilo Souza
HOM · M · 11g/29
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
GIL Vicent...
4
Seri
1
Casa Pia
13 Des
1-1
22 Feb
1-0
22 Sep
1-1
3 Mar
0-0
3 Okt
2-0
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.