⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
AS Roma
PROJECTED: 2-1
56%
KEYAKINAN 58
PROBABILITAS MENANG
56%
AS Roma
24%
Seri
20%
Fiorentina
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
67%
19%
14%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
65%
14%
21%
DL
25% WEIGHT
56%
24%
20%
KOMBINASI FINAL
56%
24%
20%
SKOR PREDIKSI
2 - 1
xG 2.14 vs 0.86
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
56%
BTTS TIDAK
44%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
FIORENTINA FACTORS
+30%
Roma slight home favourite with 19-point quality gap, but Fiorentina's recent form (DDWWL) and decent away record (DLWWW) keeps this competitive.
+25%
Roma 6th (61 pts) vs Fiorentina 16th (37 pts) — 24-point gap and superior goal differential (48-29 vs 38-45)
+20%
Roma home form DWWLD mixed but better than Fiorentina away DLWWW; Fiorentina's recent +2 streak suggests upward momentum
KONTEKS
·
Bookmaker odds (59.5% Home) slightly above AI (56%), justified by quality gap but not by full margin — value neutral
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
53%
Donyell Malen
HOM · F · 13g/16
2
30%
Albert Guðmundsson
AWY · F · 5g/11
3
12%
C. Ndour
AWY · M · 4g/12
4
6%
M. Kean
AWY · 8g/26
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
AS Roma
2
Seri
3
Fiorentina
5 Okt
1-2
4 Mei
1-0
28 Okt
5-1
11 Mar
2-2
11 Des
1-1
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
