⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Fiorentina
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
KEYAKINAN 52
PROBABILITAS MENANG
48%
Fiorentina
29%
Seri
23%
Genoa
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
42%
31%
26%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
20%
25%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
29%
23%
KOMBINASI FINAL
48%
29%
23%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
48%
BTTS TIDAK
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
GENOA FACTORS
+30%
Evenly matched mid-table sides; slight home edge offset by Genoa's recent form improvement.
KONTEKS
·
Both teams weak (16th vs 14th), nearly identical GD (-11 vs -8) — quality very close
·
Fiorentina home form (DWWDW) slightly better than Genoa away (DWLWL), but mixed recent overall (LDDWW vs DLWWL)
·
Bookmaker odds (45.5% home) slightly undervalue home advantage; SportMonks (52.7%) reasonable but high confidence unwarranted
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
54%
Albert Guðmundsson
HOM · F · 5g/11
2
31%
C. Ndour
HOM · M · 4g/12
3
16%
M. Kean
HOM · 8g/26
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Fiorentina
5
Seri
0
Genoa
9 Nov
2-2
2 Feb
2-1
1 Nov
0-1
15 Apr
1-1
20 Agt
1-4
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
