TOP PICK
Sassuolo
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
KEYAKINAN 51
PROBABILITAS MENANG
48%
Sassuolo
27%
Seri
25%
Lecce
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
42%
31%
27%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
18%
27%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
27%
25%
KOMBINASI FINAL
48%
27%
25%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 0
xG 1.09 vs 0.81
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
49%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
52%
BTTS TIDAK
48%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
LECCE FACTORS
+20%
Table gap (11th/49pts vs 17th/32pts) exists but Lecce GD (-24) suggests defensive solidity, not offensive collapse
KONTEKS
·
Sassuolo favoured at home but Lecce's road resilience and low-scoring trend make this closer than bookmaker odds suggest.
·
Sassuolo strong home form (WWWLW) vs Lecce poor away form (WDLLL); home advantage real but not dominant
·
Both xG and goal-volume models (SportMonks, Under 2.5 market 54.6%) point to tight, low-scoring match
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
64%
Domenico Berardi
HOM · F · 8g/25
2
36%
Andrea Pinamonti
HOM · F · 9g/35
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Sassuolo
3
Seri
1
Lecce
18 Okt
0-0
24 Sep
0-2
21 Apr
0-3
7 Okt
1-1
26 Feb
0-1
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
