TOP PICK
Lecce
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
KEYAKINAN 38
PROBABILITAS MENANG
48%
Lecce
28%
Seri
24%
Genoa
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
40%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
KOMBINASI FINAL
48%
28%
24%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 1.10 vs 0.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
48%
BTTS TIDAK
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
LECCE FACTORS
+25%
League position favours Lecce (17th vs 15th) but Lecce home form poor (LDLWL = 1W4L/D)
GENOA FACTORS
+30%
Data sparse and contradictory; treat as weak signal. Slight home lean but Genoa's away form keeps this tight.
+20%
Genoa away form mixed (DDWLW) — slightly better than home team's home record
KONTEKS
·
GF/GA identical (both 50 conceded) suggests defensive vulnerability; low confidence without xG data
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
24%
Mikael Ellertsson
AWY · F · 0g/1
2
24%
Lorenzo Colombo
AWY · F · 0g/1
3
24%
Walid Cheddira
HOM · F · 0g/1
4
13%
Stefano Sabelli
AWY · M · 0g/1
5
13%
Morten Frendrup
AWY · M · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Lecce
4
Seri
5
Genoa
23 Agt
0-0
15 Mar
2-1
5 Jan
0-0
28 Jan
2-1
23 Sep
1-0
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
