GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Leeds
Sab, 2 Mei · 02:00 WIB
Premier League
Burnley
TOP PICK
Leeds
PROJECTED: 2-0
64%
KEYAKINAN 58
PROBABILITAS MENANG
64%
Leeds
20%
Seri
16%
Burnley
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
71% 18% 11%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
75% 10% 16%
DL 25% WEIGHT
64% 20% 16%
KOMBINASI FINAL
64% 20% 16%
SKOR PREDIKSI
2 - 0
xG 2.19 vs 0.71
ombak — sponsored
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
56%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YA
48%
BTTS TIDAK
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 16% 8.61 +37.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 36% 3.11 +11.8%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 4.98 -0.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.17 -6.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.65 -7.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.90 -8.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 84% 1.07 -9.9%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 64% 1.37 -12.5%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
LEEDS FACTORS
+25% Leeds 25-point ahead in table (40 vs 20) with better GD (+18) and away form (WDLLW)
KONTEKS
· Leeds home favourite but Burnley's away form and relegation desperation warrant caution; expect narrow Leeds win.
· Burnley in freefall (LLLLD) and bottom-3 form; 34 GF all season vs Leeds 44 is concerning
· H2H split: 2 recent away wins for Burnley (2025-10-18, 2024-09-14) but Leeds won at home 3-1 in 2022; recency vs history tension
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
HOM · F · 12g/32
52%
2
Zian Flemming
AWY · F · 9g/26
48%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Leeds
4
Seri
3
Burnley
18 Okt 2-0
28 Jan 0-0
14 Sep 0-1
2 Jan 3-1
29 Agt 1-1
📖 Metodologi
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
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