⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Excelsior
PROJECTED: 1-3
93%
KEYAKINAN 88
PROBABILITAS MENANG
2%
Sparta Rot...
5%
Seri
93%
Excelsior
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
4%
9%
88%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
1%
1%
98%
DL
25% WEIGHT
2%
5%
93%
KOMBINASI FINAL
2%
5%
93%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 3
xG 0.64 vs 3.36
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-3
0.0%
2
0-2
0.0%
3
0-4
0.0%
4
1-3
0.0%
5
1-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
88%
BTTS TIDAK
12%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
EXCELSIOR FACTORS
+30%
Excelsior 2 goals up with 18 min left; Sparta's 3 substitutions at 71' signal desperation but comeback from 1-3 down is <5% probability.
+20%
Sparta's recent form (LDLLD) and home form (DLWDD) show poor defensive shape; Excelsior's road form (WDDLL) mixed but currently executing
+15%
Excelsior's xG trajectory (goal at 62') + Sparta's yellow card (54') suggests defensive collapse, not temporary blip
KONTEKS
·
2-goal lead (3-1) at minute 72 — only ~5% of matches overturned from here
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
67%
Tobias Lauritsen
HOM · F · 12g/34
2
34%
Noah Naujoks
AWY · M · 10g/31
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Sparta Rot...
1
Seri
4
Excelsior
14 Sep
0-1
18 Feb
4-2
1 Okt
2-1
5 Mar
1-4
15 Jan
1-0
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
