GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Portsmouth
Sab, 2 Mei · 18:30 WIB
Championship
Birmingham
TOP PICK
Portsmouth
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
KEYAKINAN 48
PROBABILITAS MENANG
38%
Portsmouth
28%
Seri
34%
Birmingham
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 34%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 19% 38%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 28% 34%
KOMBINASI FINAL
38% 28% 34%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
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🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YA
56%
BTTS TIDAK
44%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.97 +12.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 66% 1.58 +4.5%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.47 -2.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.28 -8.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.75 -8.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.60 -10.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.38 -14.8%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 34% 2.29 -22.2%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
PORTSMOUTH FACTORS
+25% Portsmouth home form collapsed (WWDLL last 5) — 2 wins but 3 losses; negates typical home advantage
BIRMINGHAM FACTORS
+20% Birmingham away form is worse (DLLLL) but recent overall form stronger (WWDWL); road record is genuine weakness
+15% League table gap (10th vs 18th, 9 pts) suggests Birmingham slight edge on quality, but home ground + fixture context keeps match tight
KONTEKS
· Evenly matched with slight home edge; form split (Portsmouth 2W-3L home vs Birmingham 0W-4L away) cuts both ways.
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
August Priske
AWY · F · 0g/1
27%
2
Jacob Brown
HOM · F · 0g/1
27%
3
Jhon Solís
AWY · M · 0g/1
15%
4
Tomoki Iwata
AWY · M · 0g/1
15%
5
Carlos Vicente
AWY · M · 0g/1
15%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Portsmouth
0
Seri
2
Birmingham
1 Nov 4-0
21 Mar 4-1
8 Feb 1-0
📖 Metodologi
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
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