TOP PICK
Lille
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
KEYAKINAN 62
PROBABILITAS MENANG
58%
Lille
24%
Seri
18%
Le Havre
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
68%
19%
13%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
68%
14%
18%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
24%
18%
KOMBINASI FINAL
58%
24%
18%
SKOR PREDIKSI
2 - 1
xG 2.16 vs 0.84
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
47%
BTTS TIDAK
53%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
LILLE FACTORS
+15%
Bookmaker home-win odds (69%) overstate Lille edge vs SportMonks (57.6%) and AI (58%); draw underpriced at 4.90
KONTEKS
·
Lille clear home favourite with quality gap, but Le Havre's road discipline and low-xG context suggest competitive scoreline.
·
League position gap (4th vs 14th) + GF/GA differential (Lille +16, Le Havre -13) favour home team
·
Lille home form mixed (DWLDW) and Le Havre road form dire (DDLLL) — convergence at ~2-1 likely
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
45%
Matías Fernández-Pardo
HOM · F · 8g/26
2
35%
Hamza Igamane
HOM · 4g/5
3
21%
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson
HOM · M · 8g/31
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Lille
0
Seri
1
Le Havre
30 Nov
0-1
9 Feb
1-2
29 Sep
0-3
17 Feb
3-0
1 Okt
0-2
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
