TOP PICK
Lyon
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
KEYAKINAN 52
PROBABILITAS MENANG
48%
Lyon
26%
Seri
26%
Lens
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
39%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
16%
28%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
26%
26%
KOMBINASI FINAL
48%
26%
26%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 1.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
61%
BTTS TIDAK
39%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
LYON FACTORS
+20%
Lyon home form WWWLL is weak (2W, 3L) — conflicts with bookmaker 56.5% home-win implied
LENS FACTORS
+15%
Lens road form DDLLD is also poor; neither team inspires confidence away or at home
KONTEKS
·
Lens are stronger on paper (2nd vs 4th, +7pts, better away record vs Lyon home form), but Lyon's recent form (LWWWW) edges this tight matchup — slight fade of market favourite.
·
Lens league position and points advantage (67 vs 60) offset by Lyon's 4W in last 5
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
32%
Wesley Saïd
AWY · F · 12g/29
2
26%
Florian Thauvin
AWY · F · 11g/33
3
17%
Pavel Šulc
HOM · M · 11g/27
4
16%
Corentin Tolisso
HOM · M · 11g/30
5
10%
Odsonne Édouard
AWY · 12g/29
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Lyon
3
Seri
4
Lens
6 Mar
2-2
16 Agt
0-1
4 Mei
1-2
16 Sep
0-0
4 Mar
0-3
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
