GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Alaves
Sab, 25 Apr · 19:00 WIB
La Liga
Mallorca
TOP PICK
Alaves
PROJECTED: 1-1
44%
KEYAKINAN 48
PROBABILITAS MENANG
44%
Alaves
28%
Seri
28%
Mallorca
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 31%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
51% 19% 31%
DL 25% WEIGHT
44% 28% 28%
KOMBINASI FINAL
44% 28% 28%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 1.06 vs 0.94
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
46%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YA
55%
BTTS TIDAK
45%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.73 +4.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 55% 1.76 -3.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.72 -3.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.32 -5.2%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 44% 2.08 -8.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.27 -8.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 46% 1.99 -8.6%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.26 -8.7%
ALAVES FACTORS
+25% Alaves home form WDDDL is drastically weak — only 1 win in last 5 at Mendizorroza
MALLORCA FACTORS
+20% Mallorca on road LLDLL shows zero away confidence; both teams fighting relegation (positions 16–17)
KONTEKS
· Relegation-battle stalemate: Alaves' home form is abysmal (WDDDL), Mallorca's away form worse (LLDLL); draw most likely.
· H2H split: recent head-to-head shows narrow margins (2–1, 1–0, 1–1, 1–0, 1–1) — low-scoring tendency
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
V. Muriqi
AWY · F · 21g/32
47%
2
L. Boyé
HOM · F · 11g/27
29%
3
Toni Martínez
HOM · F · 11g/32
24%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Alaves
3
Seri
4
Mallorca
27 Sep 1-0
3 Mar 1-1
2 Nov 1-0
25 Feb 1-1
3 Des 0-0
📖 Metodologi
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
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