⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Villarreal
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
KEYAKINAN 48
PROBABILITAS MENANG
42%
Villarreal
28%
Seri
30%
Atletico M...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
37%
31%
32%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
48%
19%
33%
DL
25% WEIGHT
42%
28%
30%
KOMBINASI FINAL
42%
28%
30%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 1.05 vs 0.95
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
68%
BTTS TIDAK
32%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
VILLARREAL FACTORS
+30%
Evenly matched on points and quality; Villarreal's strong home form vs Atlético's poor away record creates slight home edge, but fixture is genuinely competitive.
+25%
Both teams level on 69 pts with similar GF (67 vs 61); Villarreal's xG-per-game edge offset by Atlético's superior defensive record (GA 39 vs 45)
+20%
Villarreal home form LWWWW vs Atlético away form WLWLL — home edge meaningful but Atlético have won on the road this season
KONTEKS
·
Bookmaker odds imply home win 38%, draw 25%, away 35.7%; AI slightly favors home and draw (underweights away relative to form + away-record asymmetry)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
31%
Georges Mikautadze
HOM · F · 13g/32
2
23%
Alexander Sørloth
AWY · F · 6g/14
3
20%
Alexander Sørloth
AWY · F · 13g/35
4
15%
Julián Álvarez
AWY · 10g/15
5
11%
Alberto Moleiro
HOM · M · 10g/37
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Villarreal
5
Seri
4
Atletico M...
14 Sep
2-0
25 Jan
1-1
20 Agt
2-2
2 Apr
1-2
13 Nov
3-1
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
