TOP PICK
FC Porto
PROJECTED: 1-0
96%
KEYAKINAN 87
PROBABILITAS MENANG
96%
FC Porto
3%
Seri
1%
Alverca
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
58%
28%
14%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
98%
1%
1%
DL
25% WEIGHT
96%
3%
1%
KOMBINASI FINAL
96%
3%
1%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 0
xG 1.38 vs 0.52
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
2-0
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
8%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
5%
BTTS TIDAK
95%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
ALVERCA FACTORS
+20%
Alverca desperate late subs (3 consecutive at 89') signal no comeback threat
KONTEKS
·
Porto holding 1-0 lead at 90' (full-time imminent); outcome locked in unless extra time triggered.
·
Match at 90' with Porto 1-0 up — only draw/loss via unlikely ET scenario
·
Porto defensive solidity all match (clean sheet, dominant position 1 vs position 9)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
35%
William Gomes
HOM · F · 8g/27
2
34%
Marko Milovanović
AWY · F · 9g/31
3
31%
Samu
HOM · 12g/20
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
FC Porto
0
Seri
0
Alverca
23 Des
0-3
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
