GOALSENSE
12B - Member Baru WD Cepat
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Alverca
Sen, 11 Mei · 02:30 WIB
Primeira Liga
Estoril
TOP PICK
Seri
PROJECTED: 1-1
50%
KEYAKINAN 61
PROBABILITAS MENANG
32%
Alverca
50%
Seri
18%
Estoril
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
37% 44% 20%
DL 25% WEIGHT
32% 50% 18%
KOMBINASI FINAL
32% 50% 18%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 1.06 vs 0.94
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🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YA
64%
BTTS TIDAK
36%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 50% 3.49 +74.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 82% 1.44 +18.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.50 +2.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 64% 1.53 -2.1%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 2.49 -20.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 50% 1.28 -36.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.66 -36.8%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 2.66 -52.1%
ALVERCA FACTORS
+30% Tied at 90' with minimal time remaining; draw is now the most likely outcome despite Alverca's home advantage.
KONTEKS
· Match at 90' with 1-1 scoreline — draw is baseline in final moments
· Alverca home form weak (WWLDD) and Estoril away form poor (DLLWL), neither team pressing for winner
· Both teams exhausted late substitutions (Alverca 2 changes at 88'); Estoril defending compactly
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Yanis Begraoui
AWY · F · 20g/34
67%
2
João Carvalho
AWY · F · 6g/30
23%
3
Marko Milovanović
HOM · 9g/31
10%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Alverca
0
Seri
1
Estoril
28 Des 4-1
📖 Metodologi
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
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