TOP PICK
Arouca
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
KEYAKINAN 48
PROBABILITAS MENANG
38%
Arouca
32%
Seri
30%
Tondela
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
36%
31%
33%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
43%
23%
34%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
32%
30%
KOMBINASI FINAL
38%
32%
30%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 1.03 vs 0.97
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
58%
BTTS TIDAK
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
KONTEKS
·
0-0 at 3' is early; Arouca slight home edge but Tondela's away form competitive — draw most likely.
·
Early 3' scoreline gives no momentum signal yet — rely on season quality
·
Arouca home advantage (DWWLW) vs Tondela mediocre away record (WDLLW)
·
Arouca +11 on table but Tondela's xGA poor (52 conceded); both mid-table offensive threat low
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
51%
Ivan Barbero
HOM · F · 8g/31
2
31%
Alfonso Trezza
HOM · M · 9g/32
3
18%
Hyun-ju Lee
HOM · M · 7g/30
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Arouca
3
Seri
2
Tondela
3 Jan
3-1
19 Mar
2-2
30 Okt
2-0
13 Mei
1-2
8 Jan
1-2
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
