GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Arema FC
Sel, 28 Apr · 15:30 WIB
Liga 1
Persebaya Surabaya
TOP PICK
Arema FC
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
KEYAKINAN 48
PROBABILITAS MENANG
48%
Arema FC
26%
Seri
26%
Persebaya...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
39% 31% 30%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 16% 28%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 26% 26%
KOMBINASI FINAL
48% 26% 26%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 1.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YA
58%
BTTS TIDAK
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.26 +8.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.33 -1.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.62 -6.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.26 -6.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.79 -7.2%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.24 -15.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.54 -20.2%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 2.87 -25.5%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
KONTEKS
· Evenly matched mid-table sides; Persebaya's better league position offset by Arema's home form.
· Persebaya 6pts higher in table (45 vs 39) but Arema won last home match
· SportMonks home-win estimate (48.7%) matches market-implied (43.1%) after adjustment for bookmaker margin
· Recent form thin (only 2-3 games per team) — high model uncertainty
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Joel Vinicius Silva Dos Anjos
HOM · F · 0g/1
24%
2
Dalberto
HOM · F · 0g/1
24%
3
Mihailo Perović
AWY · F · 0g/1
24%
4
Gabriel Silva
HOM · M · 0g/1
13%
5
Arkhan Fikri
HOM · M · 0g/1
13%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Arema FC
3
Seri
6
Persebaya...
22 Nov 1-1
28 Apr 1-1
7 Des 3-2
27 Mar 0-1
23 Sep 3-1
📖 Metodologi
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
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