GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
San Lorenzo
Min, 3 Mei · 04:45 WIB
Liga Profesional de Fútb...
Independiente
TOP PICK
San Lorenzo
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
KEYAKINAN 42
PROBABILITAS MENANG
38%
San Lorenz...
32%
Seri
30%
Independie...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
36% 31% 33%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 23% 34%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 32% 30%
KOMBINASI FINAL
38% 32% 30%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 1.03 vs 0.97
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🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YA
48%
BTTS TIDAK
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 3.27 +24.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.82 +7.0%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.15 +3.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.44 +1.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.44 -1.9%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 2.63 -15.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.32 -18.2%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 2.63 -21.2%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
SAN LORENZO FACTORS
+30% Even matchup with marginal home edge; bookmaker odds slightly undervalue San Lorenzo at home.
+25% San Lorenzo home form (DWLWL) is poor — only 1W in last 5 at Bidegain
INDEPENDIENTE FACTORS
+20% Independiente's road form (LWDLD) equally weak — minimal away-form advantage
KONTEKS
· Nearly identical recent xG trends and goal differential (both 13 GF, 12 GA / 22 GF, 19 GA) suggest close contest
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Gabriel Ávalos
AWY · F · 9g/16
75%
2
Matías Abaldo
AWY · M · 5g/15
25%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
San Lorenz...
6
Seri
2
Independie...
22 Sep 1-1
9 Mar 1-2
4 Agt 0-0
2 Apr 0-0
5 Jun 1-1
📖 Metodologi
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
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