GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Toluca
Min, 26 Apr · 08:05 WIB
Liga MX
Leon
TOP PICK
Toluca
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
KEYAKINAN 24
PROBABILITAS MENANG
38%
Toluca
32%
Seri
30%
Leon
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
36% 31% 33%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 23% 34%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 32% 30%
KOMBINASI FINAL
38% 32% 30%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 1.03 vs 0.97
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YA
54%
BTTS TIDAK
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 4.93 +47.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 2.31 +43.1%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 4.26 +36.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.55 -16.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.16 -18.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.19 -19.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.48 -28.9%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.58 -39.8%
KONTEKS
· Match just started (3'); insufficient data — treat as baseline home-team lean only.
· Only 3 minutes played; no xG, form, or injury data available
· Season stats, H2H context, and recent form all missing
· Baseline home advantage applied; wide uncertainty remains
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Paulinho
HOM · 21g/30
38%
2
Ismael Díaz
AWY · M · 10g/27
37%
3
Helinho
HOM · 9g/19
26%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Toluca
6
Seri
1
Leon
5 Okt 2-4
9 Feb 3-3
3 Nov 2-2
4 Feb 4-1
22 Okt 1-0
📖 Metodologi
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
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