⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
JEF United Chiba
PROJECTED: 0-1
50%
KEYAKINAN 72
PROBABILITAS MENANG
28%
FC Tokyo
22%
Seri
50%
JEF United...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
27%
31%
42%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
31%
12%
58%
DL
25% WEIGHT
28%
22%
50%
KOMBINASI FINAL
28%
22%
50%
SKOR PREDIKSI
0 - 1
xG 0.81 vs 1.09
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-1
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
1-0
0.0%
5
0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
18%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
14%
BTTS TIDAK
86%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
KONTEKS
·
JEF United leading 1-0 with 22 minutes left; Tokyo's home form (WWLDL) and massive quality gap (2nd vs 10th) insufficient to overturn deficit.
·
One-goal deficit past 68' with JEF defending compactly; historical win-rate for 1-goal leads at this stage ~82%
·
Tokyo at home usually strong (WWLDL) but JEF away form (LLLL) shows this is upside-down matchup — JEF +15% vs book
·
Season quality gap (Tokyo 2nd/+16 GD, JEF 10th/-13 GD) suggests Tokyo should dominate, but live state overrides: JEF has executed efficient away upset
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
41%
Marcelo Ryan
HOM · F · 5g/14
2
39%
Ryunosuke Sato
HOM · F · 5g/15
3
20%
Kein Sato
HOM · M · 5g/16
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
FC Tokyo
2
Seri
1
JEF United...
18 Mar
1-2
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
