⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Corinthians
PROJECTED: 2-0
82%
KEYAKINAN 79
PROBABILITAS MENANG
82%
Corinthian...
14%
Seri
4%
Penarol
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
76%
16%
8%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
97%
2%
1%
DL
25% WEIGHT
82%
14%
4%
KOMBINASI FINAL
82%
14%
4%
SKOR PREDIKSI
2 - 0
xG 2.31 vs 0.59
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
28%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
18%
BTTS TIDAK
82%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
PENAROL FACTORS
+15%
Penarol on road with no recent away-form data; 0 shots on target suggests defensive vulnerability
KONTEKS
·
Corinthians 2-0 up at HT with dominant control; Penarol's weak away form and 0 goals suggest home win is near-certain.
·
2-goal lead at HT (minute 45) — statistically >80% conversion to win with 45 min remaining
·
Corinthians top of table (6 pts, +4 GD) vs Penarol 3rd (1 pt, -1 GD) — massive quality gap
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
77%
Matías Arezo
AWY · F · 2g/4
2
23%
Gustavo Henrique
HOM · D · 3g/4
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Corinthian...
0
Seri
2
Penarol
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
