GOALSENSE
12B - Member Baru WD Cepat
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Independiente Medellin
Jum, 1 Mei · 09:00 WIB
Copa Libertadores
Cusco
TOP PICK
Independiente Medellin
PROJECTED: 1-0
52%
KEYAKINAN 48
PROBABILITAS MENANG
52%
Independie...
38%
Seri
10%
Cusco
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
46% 31% 23%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
61% 30% 9%
DL 25% WEIGHT
52% 38% 10%
KOMBINASI FINAL
52% 38% 10%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 0
xG 1.17 vs 0.73
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🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
28%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YA
22%
BTTS TIDAK
78%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 4.71 +79.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.99 +43.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 90% 1.07 -3.6%
AWAY to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 10% 7.89 -21.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.16 -27.9%
HOME to Win
32 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.37 -28.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 1.67 -53.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 1.92 -57.7%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CUSCO FACTORS
+15% Cusco's away form weak (L) and defensive record poor (GA 4) — vulnerable to late goal
KONTEKS
· Goalless at 71' with 19 minutes left; draw is most likely outcome, but Medellin's home advantage and recent substitutions lean slightly toward late winner.
· 0-0 at 71' with low xG environment throughout — 38% draw is base case
· Medellin home venue advantage + 2 attacking substitutions (64') suggest late push
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Francisco Fydriszewski
HOM · F · 3g/8
87%
2
Hayen Palacios
HOM · D · 2g/5
13%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Independie...
1
Seri
0
Cusco
📖 Metodologi
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
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