GOALSENSE
12B - Member Baru WD Cepat
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Aston Villa
Jum, 8 Mei · 02:00 WIB
Europa League
Nottingham Forest
TOP PICK
Aston Villa
PROJECTED: 1-0
52%
KEYAKINAN 48
PROBABILITAS MENANG
52%
Aston Vill...
28%
Seri
20%
Nottingham...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
44% 31% 25%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
60% 19% 21%
DL 25% WEIGHT
52% 28% 20%
KOMBINASI FINAL
52% 28% 20%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 0
xG 1.13 vs 0.77
gacha168 — sponsored
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YA
56%
BTTS TIDAK
44%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.88 +8.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.10 +1.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.87 +0.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.79 +0.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.19 -5.0%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 4.69 -6.2%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.72 -10.5%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.24 -10.7%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
ASTON VILLA FACTORS
+20% Aston Villa higher league position (2 vs 13, +7 pts) but Forest on 5-match winning streak
+15% Aston Villa home advantage offset by Villa's recent slump (LLLWW) and Forest's away consistency (WWDWW)
KONTEKS
· Early in first half at 0-0; Aston Villa slight home favourite but Nottingham Forest's recent form (5W) and away record (WWDWW) keep this competitive.
· Only 2 minutes elapsed — scoreline neutral, form and quality dominate
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Igor Jesus
AWY · F · 7g/13
33%
2
Ollie Watkins
HOM · F · 5g/14
22%
3
Ollie Watkins
HOM · F · 12g/35
21%
4
John McGinn
HOM · M · 5g/11
15%
5
M. Gibbs-White
AWY · M · 13g/35
9%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Aston Vill...
2
Seri
2
Nottingham...
1 Mei 1-0
12 Apr 1-1
3 Jan 3-1
5 Apr 2-1
15 Des 2-1
📖 Metodologi
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
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