GOALSENSE
12B - Member Baru WD Cepat
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Palmeiras
Kam, 13 Agt · 05:00 WIB
Copa Libertadores
Cerro Porteno
TOP PICK
Cerro Porteno
PROJECTED: 1-1
47%
KEYAKINAN 62
PROBABILITAS MENANG
28%
Palmeiras
25%
Seri
47%
Cerro Port...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
31% 31% 39%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
31% 15% 54%
DL 25% WEIGHT
28% 25% 47%
KOMBINASI FINAL
28% 25% 47%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 0.92 vs 1.08
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🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-1
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 1-0
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YA
42%
BTTS TIDAK
58%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 47% 9.91 +365.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 3.13 +125.4%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 25% 4.57 +14.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.68 +12.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 75% 1.18 -11.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.18 -17.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 53% 1.05 -44.3%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 1.34 -62.4%
CERRO PORTENO FACTORS
+25% 1-goal lead in final 18 min favours away team; Cerro Porteno 5-4-1 shape is defensively compact
KONTEKS
· Cerro Porteno ahead 1-0 with 18 min left; Palmeiras pressing but away team's defensive setup (5-4-1) and road pedigree (WWLLL form masked by early fixture ease) suggest upset hold is live.
· H2H shows Cerro Porteno won last two (0-1, 0-1); recent pattern favours visitors despite Palmeiras home record LWWWW
· Palmeiras' away form LWDWW mixed, but Cerro Porteno road form WWLLL suggests fixture quality context — early-season fixture ease inflates their record; 18 min + defensive discipline = high hold probability
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
José Manuel López
HOM · F · 3g/8
29%
2
Pablo Vegetti
AWY · F · 3g/8
29%
3
Ramón Sosa
HOM · F · 2g/4
27%
4
Jhon Arias
HOM · M · 3g/8
16%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Palmeiras
1
Seri
1
Cerro Port...
20 Agt 0-1
21 Mei 0-1
30 Apr 1-1
8 Mei 0-2
10 Apr 1-0
📖 Metodologi
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
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