GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Le Havre
Min, 26 Apr · 22:15 WIB
Ligue 1
Metz
TOP PICK
Le Havre
PROJECTED: 4-3
78%
CONF 76
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Le Havre
15%
Seri
7%
Metz
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
63% 14% 22%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
92% 4% 4%
DL 25% WEIGHT
78% 15% 7%
FINAL BLEND
78% 15% 7%
PREDICTED SCORE
4 - 3
xG 4.28 vs 2.72
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 4-2
0.0%
2 3-2
0.0%
3 4-3
0.0%
4 5-2
0.0%
5 3-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
95%
BTTS NO
5%
💎 VALUE BETS
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 1.71 +62.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.65 +52.1%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.59 +24.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 93% 1.15 +7.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 85% 1.21 +2.7%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 15% 4.20 -36.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 2.31 -49.2%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 7% 5.26 -63.2%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Le Havre holds 1-goal lead at 64'; likely to hold on despite Metz's attacking threat and recent yellow cards.
· 1-goal lead with 26 minutes remaining — statistically ~80% win probability
· Le Havre's home form (DDLWW) steadier than Metz's away form (LDLLL)
· High-scoring game (4–3 at 64') suggests BTTS and Over 2.5 highly probable
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Mbwana Ally Samatta
HOM · F · 0g/1
24%
2
Gauthier Hein
AWY · F · 0g/1
24%
3
Giorgi Kvilitaia
AWY · F · 0g/1
24%
4
Rassoul Ndiaye
HOM · M · 0g/1
13%
5
Simon Ebonog
HOM · M · 0g/1
13%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Le Havre
6
Seri
1
Metz
28 Sep 0-0
21 Apr 0-1
29 Okt 0-0
📖 pred.methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · pred.disclaimer
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