GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Liverpool
Sab, 25 Apr · 21:00 WIB
Premier League
Crystal Palace
TOP PICK
Liverpool
PROJECTED: 2-0
93%
CONF 81
WIN PROBABILITY
93%
Liverpool
5%
Seri
2%
Crystal Pa...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
78% 15% 7%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
98% 1% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
93% 5% 2%
FINAL BLEND
93% 5% 2%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.36 vs 0.54
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 4-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
78%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
15%
BTTS NO
85%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 93% 1.55 +44.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.53 +19.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 1.19 +13.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.15 +12.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 15% 1.62 -75.8%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 4.49 -77.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 7% 2.45 -82.9%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 5.44 -89.1%
CONTEXT
· Liverpool 2-0 up with 21 minutes left; Palace have offered minimal threat. Home win is near-certain.
· 2-goal lead at 69' — statistically >93% conversion to victory
· Palace (43 pts, 13th) significantly weaker than Liverpool (55 pts, 5th)
· No recent Palace attacking threat; Liverpool controlling match
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Ismaïla Sarr
AWY · F · 7g/11
57%
2
Jean-Philippe Mateta
AWY · F · 10g/27
33%
3
H. Ekitike
HOM · 11g/28
11%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Liverpool
4
Seri
3
Crystal Pa...
27 Sep 2-1
25 Mei 1-1
5 Okt 0-1
14 Apr 0-1
9 Des 1-2
📖 pred.methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · pred.disclaimer
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