⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Lorient
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Lorient
28%
Seri
24%
Strasbourg
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
42%
31%
27%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
FINAL BLEND
48%
28%
24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Evenly matched mid-table rivals; Lorient's home form and H2H edge give slight edge but draw is live.
·
Lorient stronger at home (WDWDW) vs Strasbourg's road form (LWWDD)
·
H2H favours Lorient (2W-1L-2 of last 5, 3-1 recent win)
·
Nearly identical league position (41 vs 43 pts) with similar GD
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
31%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng
HOM · F · 9g/19
2
23%
Pablo Pagis
HOM · F · 9g/25
3
20%
Martial Godo
AWY · F · 4g/9
4
15%
Martial Godo
AWY · F · 8g/25
5
12%
Joaquin Panichelli
AWY · 16g/27
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Lorient
4
Seri
3
Strasbourg
14 Des
0-0
18 Feb
1-3
17 Des
1-2
4 Jun
2-1
13 Nov
1-1
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer