⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Nottingham Forest
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Nottingham...
28%
Seri
34%
Aston Vill...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
35%
31%
34%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
43%
19%
38%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
28%
34%
FINAL BLEND
38%
28%
34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
51%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
NOTTINGHAM FOREST FACTORS
+20%
Nottingham Forest home form mediocre (WWDDL) — won't lever strong home advantage
ASTON VILLA FACTORS
+25%
Aston Villa superior league position (21 pts vs 14 pts) and away form mixed (LDWLW)
CONTEXT
·
Villa quality edge (2nd vs 13th) offset by Forest home record; competitive contest, draw slight lean.
·
H2H split: 2W Villa, 1W Forest, 2 draws in last 5 — tight rivalry, BTTS trend (3/5 matches scored both sides)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
33%
Igor Jesus
HOM · 7g/11
2
20%
M. Gibbs-White
HOM · 13g/34
3
17%
O. Watkins
AWY · 11g/33
4
17%
O. Watkins
AWY · 4g/12
5
14%
M. Rogers
AWY · 9g/34
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Nottingham...
2
Seri
5
Aston Vill...
12 Apr
1-1
3 Jan
3-1
5 Apr
2-1
15 Des
2-1
24 Feb
4-2
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer