TOP PICK
Osasuna
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Osasuna
38%
Seri
14%
Sevilla
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
44%
31%
25%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
56%
30%
14%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
38%
14%
FINAL BLEND
48%
38%
14%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.14 vs 0.76
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
35%
BTTS NO
65%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Goalless at 27'; Osasuna slight home favourite but Sevilla's recent form collapse limits away threat.
·
0-0 at 27' anchors draw likelihood; low xG atmosphere typical of this matchup
·
Osasuna home form (DWDWD) solid vs Sevilla away form (LLLDW) — home edge modest
·
Sevilla in freefall (LWLLL, 18th place) but H2H shows low-scoring pattern (1-0, 1-0, 1-1)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Ante Budimir
HOM · F · 16g/32
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Osasuna
5
Seri
1
Sevilla
8 Nov
1-0
25 Apr
1-0
3 Des
1-1
29 Jan
1-1
23 Sep
0-0
📖 pred.methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · pred.disclaimer