GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Pápai Perutz
Min, 26 Apr · 22:00 WIB
NB III - Northwest
SC Sopron
TOP PICK
Pápai Perutz
PROJECTED: 1-0
78%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Pápai Peru...
16%
Seri
6%
SC Sopron
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
53% 29% 18%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
92% 5% 3%
DL 25% WEIGHT
78% 16% 6%
FINAL BLEND
78% 16% 6%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.29 vs 0.61
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 2-0
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
28%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
18%
BTTS NO
82%
CONTEXT
· Pápai leads 1-0 at 68'; 22 minutes remain. Home advantage + scoreline heavily favours hold.
· 1-goal lead with 22 minutes remaining (68'/90') — statistically very defensible
· No recent significant events suggests controlled match, not end-to-end
· Limited data on both teams (NB III, thin historical record) but live state is anchor
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Pápai Peru...
1
Seri
1
SC Sopron
12 Okt 3-2
5 Des 0-1
1 Agt 1-0
📖 pred.methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · pred.disclaimer
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