⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Aston Villa
PROJECTED: 1-1
41%
KEYAKINAN 58
PROBABILITAS MENANG
28%
SC Freibur...
31%
Seri
41%
Aston Vill...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
32%
31%
37%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
31%
22%
47%
DL
25% WEIGHT
28%
31%
41%
KOMBINASI FINAL
28%
31%
41%
SKOR PREDIKSI
1 - 1
xG 0.95 vs 1.05
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-1
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
1-0
0.0%
5
0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YA
65%
BTTS TIDAK
35%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
19 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
KONTEKS
·
Villa slight favourite in open tie; early scoreless state masks quality gap—expect goals late as match opens up.
·
Villa superior table position (2nd vs 7th) + better away form (DLLDW vs Freiburg home WWDWW)
·
Bookmaker implied 59.5% Villa win vs AI 41%—market overprices away win; draw undervalued at 24%
·
Only 4 minutes elapsed: scoreline irrelevant; focus on xG trends, recent subs (Villa made 3 late changes suggesting intensity management)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
43%
Igor Matanović
HOM · F · 11g/31
2
16%
O. Watkins
AWY · 16g/37
3
15%
John McGinn
AWY · 5g/12
4
13%
Yuito Suzuki
HOM · 4g/11
5
12%
O. Watkins
AWY · 5g/15
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
PREDIKSI
0%
TINGKAT AKURASI
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
SC Freibur...
1
Seri
0
Aston Vill...
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.
