⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Sporting Cristal
PROJECTED: 1-0
78%
CONF 79
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Sporting C...
15%
Seri
7%
Junior
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
53%
29%
18%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
92%
4%
4%
DL
25% WEIGHT
78%
15%
7%
FINAL BLEND
78%
15%
7%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.28 vs 0.62
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
2-0
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
18%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
22%
BTTS NO
78%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
JUNIOR FACTORS
+20%
Junior on road with L form (LLLLL overall) — attacking threat minimal
+15%
Low-chance match (xG-poor throughout); Junior 0 shots on target pattern typical of away weakness
CONTEXT
·
Sporting Cristal 1-0 up with 13 minutes left; low xG environment and Junior's poor away form make home win near-certain.
·
One-goal lead past minute 77 with ~13 minutes remaining — statistically >75% win probability
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
100%
Yoshimar Yotún
HOM · M · 2g/6
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Sporting C...
0
Seri
0
Junior
📖 Metodologi
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Prediksi adalah probabilitas yang dihasilkan AI, bukan saran. Bertaruh dengan bertanggung jawab.